FBC Melgarvs
Cusco
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FBC Melgar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cusco are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20