GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/15/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico GrauWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarAtletico Grau
57.1Attack24.2
58.7Defence66.7
55.6Form34.8
57.8Power44.0
1.28xG0.56
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