GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fatih Karagümrük · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fatih Karagümrük are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Petrolul Ploiesti are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fatih Karagümrük hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fatih Karagümrük holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fatih Karagümrük

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Fatih Karagümrük has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fatih KaragümrükWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Petrolul PloiestiDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fatih KaragümrükPetrolul Ploiesti
53.3Attack42.4
60.0Defence51.5
60.0Form45.5
59.1Power47.7
1.76xG1.07
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