GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fatih Karagümrük · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Fatih Karagümrük are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ümraniyespor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fatih Karagümrük hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the 1. Lig, while Fatih Karagümrük holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fatih Karagümrük

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

14.8%

Fatih Karagümrük has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fatih KaragümrükLWWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ÜmraniyesporDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
49.6Attack0.0
68.4Defence100.0
59.0Form33.3
59.9Power45.3
1.51xG0.74
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