Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FAS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Verdes are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 6.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
12.9%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80