Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FAS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dragón are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Copa Presidente, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40