Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farsta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Farsta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sleipner are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Farsta hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Farsta holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Farsta
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
8.9%
Farsta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40