Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Farense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fulham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fulham holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fulham
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Fulham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00