Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
8%
LowconfidenceFana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Gneist are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and fana hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the 3. Division - Girone 3, favouring Fana with 8.2% confidence, a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fana
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
8.2%
Fana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FanaWWLDW
GF 18 · GA 14 · avg 3.60/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GneistLWLLW
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FanaGneist
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power7.0
3.20xG1.55