Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Famalicao · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Famalicao are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Tondela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Famalicao hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (75.0 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Famalicao holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Famalicao
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Famalicao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00