Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Falu BS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lidingö are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60