Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Falu BS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Korsnäs are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
81.8%
Model confidence
81.8%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60