Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gefle IF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Svenska Cupen, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00