Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Falu BS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Franke are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
12.9%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80