Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falkirk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Falkirk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Stranraer are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkirk hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the League Cup, while Falkirk holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falkirk
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Falkirk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40