Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Fakel are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Rostov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
14.2%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80