Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Fakel U19 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Zenit U19 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit U19 hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Youth Championship, while Zenit U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit U19
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Zenit U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60