Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fakel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fakel U19 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ural U20 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural U20 hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Youth Championship, while Fakel U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fakel U19
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Fakel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00