GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 7/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fakel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fakel U19 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rubin Kazan U20 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin Kazan U20 hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Youth Championship, while Fakel U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fakel U19

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Fakel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fakel U19LWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rubin Kazan U20WLLLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fakel U19Rubin Kazan U20
38.6Attack42.1
31.6Defence29.8
19.3Form26.3
32.9Power35.2
1.76xG1.63
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