GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 8/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Fakel U19 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Moskva U19 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Moskva U19 hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 72.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Youth Championship, while Lokomotiv Moskva U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Probability

81.9%

Model confidence

9.2%

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fakel U19DDLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv Moskva U19WWLWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fakel U19Lokomotiv Moskva U19
40.7Attack94.4
29.6Defence55.6
20.4Form70.4
33.3Power72.2
1.06xG3.85
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