GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fagiano Okayama are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vissel Kobe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vissel Kobe hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fagiano OkayamaLWDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vissel KobeWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fagiano OkayamaVissel Kobe
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.25xG1.23
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