GGOALVIO

Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano OkayamavsV-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 3/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fagiano Okayama are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fagiano OkayamaWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
V-varen NagasakiLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fagiano OkayamaV-varen Nagasaki
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.30xG1.11
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