GGOALVIO

Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano OkayamavsShimizu S-pulse logoShimizu S-pulse

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 5/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fagiano Okayama are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Shimizu S-pulse are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fagiano OkayamaWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shimizu S-pulseDDWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaShimizu S-pulse
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.26xG1.07
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