GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fagiano OkayamaLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Nagoya GrampusLDWWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaNagoya Grampus
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power26.7
1.53xG0.98
View match centre →