Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fafe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fafe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vianense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fafe hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.3% in the Liga 3, while Fafe holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fafe
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
22.3%
Fafe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00