GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

FA Šiauliai II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

11.7%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FA Šiauliai IIDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Žalgiris IIWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FA Šiauliai IIŽalgiris II
29.8Attack47.4
28.1Defence52.6
19.3Form49.1
28.8Power51.0
0.86xG2.01
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