Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
ÍF II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while TB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60