Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eyüpspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Eyüpspor are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mardin BB are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mardin BB hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Eyüpspor holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eyüpspor
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Eyüpspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40