GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Exeter City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Exeter City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bristol City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 81.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Exeter City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Exeter City

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Exeter City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Exeter CityLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bristol CityDWLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Exeter CityBristol City
77.8Attack60.0
66.7Defence93.3
74.1Form86.7
72.9Power81.0
2.00xG1.15
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