ExcursionistasvsDeportivo Merlo

Excursionistas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.