ExcursionistasvsDefensores Unidos

Excursionistas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Defensores Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.