ExcelsiorvsPSV Eindhoven

Excelsior are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PSV Eindhoven are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Excelsior hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Eredivisie, while Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.