Excelsior Virtonvs
K. Lierse S.K.
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Excelsior Virton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Excelsior Virton are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while K. Lierse S.K. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Excelsior Virton hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Challenger Pro League, while Excelsior Virton holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Excelsior Virton
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
10.3%
Excelsior Virton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80