GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Worcester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Worcester City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Evesham United hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (13.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Worcester City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Worcester City

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Worcester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Worcester CityDDDLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Evesham UnitedWorcester City
11.1Attack0.0
11.1Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.7Power7.0
1.74xG1.79
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