GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Frome Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Evesham United hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Frome TownWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Evesham UnitedFrome Town
40.5Attack31.0
50.8Defence52.4
37.3Form31.7
44.1Power39.6
1.27xG0.83
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