GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chichester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Evesham United hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chichester CityLDDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Evesham UnitedChichester City
40.5Attack33.3
50.8Defence33.3
37.3Form0.0
44.1Power23.7
1.47xG1.24
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