Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Everton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lille are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lille hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lille holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lille
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
11.3%
Lille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80