GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Everton de Vina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Everton de Vina are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union La Calera are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton de Vina hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Primera División, while Everton de Vina holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Everton de Vina

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Everton de Vina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton de VinaWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union La CaleraLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
43.9Attack37.0
59.6Defence44.4
42.1Form35.2
49.6Power40.8
1.60xG0.80
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