GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Everton de Vina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton de VinaWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Coquimbo UnidoWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Everton de VinaCoquimbo Unido
43.9Attack47.1
59.6Defence58.8
42.1Form49.0
49.6Power53.3
1.15xG1.05
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