Everton de VinavsA. Italiano

Everton de Vina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while A. Italiano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton de Vina hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera División, while Everton de Vina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.