Estudiantes L.P.vs
Independiente
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 7/26/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Estudiantes L.P. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40