Argentina · Reserve League · 5/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Estudiantes La Plata Res are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Newell's Old Boys Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.9 against 59.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00