Estudiantes La Plata Resvs
Independiente Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 3/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Estudiantes La Plata Res are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40