GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes La Plata Res · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estudiantes La Plata Res are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ferro 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes La Plata Res hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Reserve League, while Estudiantes La Plata Res holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes La Plata Res

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Estudiantes La Plata Res has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes La Plata ResLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro 2WLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Estudiantes La Plata ResFerro 2
51.5Attack36.4
72.7Defence56.1
57.6Form39.4
60.9Power45.5
1.52xG0.52
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