GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lujan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lujan hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LujanWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella Del SurLujan
34.8Attack44.9
71.0Defence73.9
50.7Form60.9
53.7Power61.6
0.57xG0.73
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