GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leandro N. Alem are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Primera C, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWLDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leandro N. AlemDDLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella Del SurLeandro N. Alem
34.8Attack37.9
71.0Defence45.5
50.7Form40.9
53.7Power43.1
1.26xG0.59
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