GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/6/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Estrela are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while VfL Wolfsburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Estrela holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrela

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Estrela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EstrelaDWDLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VfL WolfsburgLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
EstrelaVfL Wolfsburg
73.3Attack66.7
46.7Defence33.3
60.0Form44.4
61.3Power51.1
2.64xG1.78
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