Estrelavs
Sporting CP
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/8/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Estrela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting CP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Primeira Liga, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40