Estrelavs
Portimonense
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Estrela are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portimonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Estrela holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estrela
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Estrela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20