GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Estrela are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Naval 1893 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela hold a 46.0-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Estrela holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrela

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Estrela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EstrelaDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Naval 1893WDWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EstrelaNaval 1893
73.3Attack0.0
46.7Defence33.3
60.0Form0.0
61.3Power15.3
2.60xG1.33
View match centre →